Why Kamala Harris Will Prevail in the 2024 Presidential Election
There is a tangible anxiety echoing through the currents of American life as we approach the upcoming election. More than ever before in my lifetime, I’ve been approached by individuals from all walks of life with the burning question: “Can Kamala Harris actually win this election? Are we going to be alright?” This sense of dread is palpable, especially among Democratic operatives who frequently rush to share their concerns with the media. While I typically refrain from participating in the political prediction game—an industry recently inflated by strange crypto investments betting on a Donald Trump comeback—I’m ready to step up to the political poker table today and confidently state: America, everything will be fine. I firmly believe that Ms. Harris will be elected as the next President of the United States. Here are three compelling reasons why:
1. Trump is a Repeat Electoral Loser: History Will Repeat Itself
The primary reason I foresee Mr. Trump losing once again is the ongoing losing streak of the Republican Party since he took control. Take a look at 2018: it witnessed the largest midterm election landslide for Democrats since the Watergate scandal. Fast forward to 2020: he was decisively ousted from the White House by Joe Biden. Then, in 2022: the midterms were an embarrassing affair for Republicans, particularly in light of the Dobbs decision. Moreover, Democrats have been consistently performing well in special elections since the Supreme Court’s ruling undermined a fundamental right for American women. Guess what? Abortion is once again a pivotal issue on the ballot for this presidential election.
It appears that even in battleground states, there simply aren’t enough voters willing to rally around Mr. Trump anymore when he primarily caters to his base. He has yet to learn from his past electoral defeats or to put in the necessary effort to build a broad coalition for 2024. It’s also worth noting that just seven weeks after Nikki Haley exited the Republican primary, she garnered 158,000 votes in Pennsylvania, and several disillusioned Haley supporters are now considering a shift towards Ms. Harris. Despite Ms. Haley’s endorsement of Mr. Trump, losing even a small fraction of those voters leaves him with a significant handicap as he approaches the final stretch of the race. To top it off, many voters perceive Mr. Trump as too old for the presidency, and instead of addressing their concerns, he spends the final days of his campaign dancing to the Village People and canceling interviews.
In stark contrast, Ms. Harris has managed to assemble an energized and cohesive coalition in just three months. From Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez to Liz and Dick Cheney, her support base is one of the most diverse we’ve seen in modern political history. What’s more, this coalition exhibits a level of excitement that rivals that of the opposition. This election is shaping up to be one of record turnout, and if Ms. Harris’s broader coalition mobilizes with equal fervor, it could spell doom for Mr. Trump.
2. Financial Resources Matter, and Ms. Harris Has an Abundance
Another hard truth in politics is that money plays a crucial role. If it didn’t, someone would be wasting an immense amount of time raising it. Just ask Lindsey Graham, who has been lamenting that Republicans are being outpaced in fundraising. He is not mistaken; Ms. Harris is collecting campaign funds like a Wisconsin cheese factory processes cheddar.
Since entering the race, the Vice President has amassed an astonishing $1 billion, and in the last quarter alone, one of her fundraising committees pulled in a staggering $633 million—overshadowing the combined totals of Mr. Trump’s two fundraising committees. This influx of cash not only counteracts the monetary support Mr. Trump receives from certain tech billionaires but also equips Ms. Harris with the resources necessary to reach swing voters through advertisements and ground organization. With her campaign’s field operation running like a well-oiled machine, it’s evident that there has never been such a pronounced disparity in voter outreach efforts. Mr. Trump may run high-profile TV ads attempting to paint Ms. Harris as extreme, but what is less frequently discussed is that she is more than capable of countering those claims, reminding voters of how Mr. Trump betrayed his oath of office following the 2020 election and stripped away a woman’s right to choose. With ample funds at her disposal, she is poised to effectively remind suburban women and moderate voters that Mr. Trump is, indeed, the true extremist in this race.
