Germany, recognized as one of the United States’ closest allies, has been diligently preparing for the possibility of a second term under Donald Trump. Experts have long cautioned that Germany may need to enhance its defense strategies within both the European context and NATO, particularly as Trump promotes an “America First” agenda.
In a recent discussion at the Aspen Institute, Thomas Erndl, the Vice-Chair of the Foreign Affairs Committee of the German Parliament and a member of the opposition (CSU/CDU), emphasized the pressing challenges of our times. He stated, “European security is particularly at risk now, and we need to take on a tougher, stronger role. (Russian President) Putin only understands the language of strength, and we must assert this from Germany.”
When addressing the future of the transatlantic partnership, Erndl remarked, “Every investment in a partnership must also be justified to voters, and there has to be something in return. We have to deliver on that,” emphasizing the need for revitalization of this crucial alliance.
Germany’s largest tabloid, BILD, captured the sentiment of the moment with headlines proclaiming “There he is again!” alongside images of President-elect Donald Trump. Erndl further noted, “The USA will not be able to manage the rising rivalry with China alone; it can only be effectively addressed through collaboration with Europe, which must emerge as a robust partner.”
Michael Link, the transatlantic coordinator and FDP deputy parliamentary group leader, warned of the broader implications if Ukraine were to lose the ongoing conflict. He asserted, “We should never forget that if Russia wins in Ukraine, China wins too. The notion that we can simply reallocate resources to counter Chinese activities is an illusion. China isn’t solely an Indo-Pacific challenge; it is a global one. Look at their expanding influence in Latin America, Africa, and even Europe.”
Daniel Benjamin, an American diplomat and President of the American Academy in Berlin, expressed concerns regarding European security arrangements. He pointed out, “There’s no significant pro-Putin sentiment among the countries in Eastern and Central Europe, with Hungary as a possible exception. While Hungary may seek a different path from the established EU direction, it doesn’t necessarily align itself with Russian interests.”
Link added, “As EU members, countries like Hungary must adhere to shared values and demonstrate solidarity in defense. The political maneuvers that Orban is engaging in with the Russian and Chinese leaders pose a serious challenge to the unity of NATO and the EU.”
In light of the polarized results from the recent U.S. elections, the German government may find itself inspired to mend existing rifts as Europe embarks on a new chapter of striving for greater independence.