An Analysis of Kamala Harris’s Potential Victory

This race has consistently posed significant challenges for Vice President Kamala Harris. Entering the contest later than her opponents, she found herself facing a formidable candidate in a tumultuous political landscape. The electorate was eager for change, expressing dissatisfaction with the current trajectory of the nation and its economic situation.

Should Ms. Harris emerge victorious, a variety of factors will likely be credited for her ability to navigate these obstacles and ultimately triumph over former President Donald J. Trump.

Here’s a glimpse into the insights analysts may share if Harris secures a win. (For a different perspective, here’s a similar analysis regarding a potential Trump victory.)

Turnout, Turnout, Turnout

The Vice President’s commitment to the traditional Democratic strategy of mobilizing voters through grassroots efforts will have proven to be as effective as anticipated. In stark contrast, Mr. Trump chose to delegate this crucial task to allies, including high-profile figures such as Elon Musk, who lack the extensive experience needed in grassroots organizing and voter engagement.

The Harris campaign has boasted impressive numbers, having deployed 2,500 dedicated staff members across 353 offices nationwide to identify supporters and ensure they cast their votes. In just one week alone, the campaign reported staggering figures: 600,000 door-knocks and a remarkable three million phone calls.

A win for Harris would serve as compelling evidence for a theory often discussed among political operatives and strategists: effective turnout operations can indeed make a significant difference in tightly contested races.